State tax refunds range from under $100 to several thousand dollars, depending on how much you overpaid, your income, which state you live in, and whether you claimed dependents or deductions
There is no single "state tax refund" amount. The IRS does not set a standard. Your refund is the difference between what you paid in state income tax during the year (through withholding or estimated payments) and what you actually owed. If you paid $3,000 and owed $2,400, your refund is $600. If you paid $1,200 and owed $1,800, you owe money instead.
The size of your refund depends on four things: your total income for the year, the tax rate in your state, how much tax was withheld from your paychecks, and what deductions or credits you can claim. A person earning $35,000 in New York will get a different refund than someone earning $35,000 in Texas (which has no state income tax at all). Someone who claimed a dependent child may get a larger refund than someone with the same income and no dependents, because of state child tax credits.
The only way to know your exact refund is to file your state return or use your state's tax calculator. You cannot predict it from income alone.
Key Takeaways
- Your state refund equals what you paid in state income tax minus what you actually owed; there is no standard amount.
- Nine states have no income tax at all, so residents in those states will not receive a state refund.
- Withholding errors, claiming dependents, and deductions all change your refund size.
- You can estimate your refund using your state's tax calculator or by reviewing your most recent pay stub and last year's return.
Why state refunds vary so much from person to person
The biggest factor is withholding—how much your employer took out of each paycheck for state taxes. If you filled out your W-4 form years ago and never updated it, you might be withholding too much or too little. Someone who withholds $50 per paycheck over 26 pay periods will have $1,300 withheld annually. Someone withholding $20 per paycheck will have $520 withheld. If both owe $800 in state tax, the first person gets a $500 refund and the second owes $280.
Life changes also shift your refund. Getting married, having a child, buying a home, or losing a job all change your tax picture. A parent who claims a new child may suddenly get a state child tax credit worth $100 to $500, depending on the state. Someone who bought a house and now itemizes deductions instead of taking the standard deduction may owe less tax overall.
Your state matters enormously. California's top income tax rate is 13.3 percent. Colorado's is 4.4 percent. Nine states—Alaska, Florida, Nevada, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Washington, Wyoming, and New Hampshire (for dividends and interest only)—have no state income tax at all. A person earning $60,000 will pay vastly different state income tax in each of these places, and therefore receive a vastly different refund.
How to estimate what you will receive
Start with your most recent pay stub. Look for the line labeled "state tax withheld" or "state income tax." Multiply that amount by the number of pay periods you have left in the year. If you are paid biweekly and it is June, you have roughly 26 pay periods left; if it is November, you have roughly 4 left. That gives you a rough total of what will be withheld by year-end.
Next, estimate what you will owe. This is harder without filing, but your state's tax department usually publishes a tax calculator on its website. You enter your expected income, filing status, number of dependents, and deductions, and it tells you the tax you will owe. Subtract your expected withholding from that number. If withholding is higher, you will get a refund. If it is lower, you will owe.
This estimate is rough because it assumes your income will stay the same and you will not have major life changes. If you got a raise, took unpaid leave, got married, or had a child, the estimate will be off. But it gives you a ballpark figure.
States with the largest and smallest refunds on average
Refund size correlates loosely with state tax rates and income levels. States with higher tax rates and higher average incomes tend to issue larger refunds, but this is not a rule—it depends on how many people overpay in each state.
California, New York, and Illinois typically issue large refunds because they have high income tax rates and many high-income residents. A person earning $100,000 in California might overpay by $2,000 or more if their withholding is not adjusted. But a person earning $30,000 in the same state might get a refund of $200 to $400.
States with lower tax rates, like Colorado, Indiana, and Pennsylvania, tend to issue smaller refunds on average because there is less tax to overpay. But again, this depends entirely on the individual's withholding and income.
The nine states with no income tax issue no state refunds at all. If you live in Texas or Florida and your employer withheld state tax by mistake, you can still get that money back, but it will not be a "refund"—it will be a correction or recovery of an erroneous payment.
What happens if you underpaid instead of overpaid
If your withholding was too low and you owe state tax instead of receiving a refund, you will have to pay when you file. The amount you owe is calculated the same way: total tax owed minus total tax already paid. If you owe more than a few hundred dollars, your state may allow you to pay in installments, though interest and penalties will accrue.
You can avoid this next year by adjusting your W-4 with your employer. If you consistently owe money at tax time, you are withholding too little. If you consistently get large refunds, you are withholding too much. Either way, updating your W-4 brings your withholding closer to what you actually owe, which means a smaller refund or bill next year.
How to find your state's tax rate and calculator
Every state tax department publishes its tax rates and usually offers a tax calculator or worksheet on its website. Search "[your state] tax calculator" or "[your state] department of revenue" to find it. The calculator typically asks for your filing status, income, number of dependents, and deductions, then tells you what you will owe.
You can also look up your state's tax brackets and do the math yourself, but the calculator is faster and less error-prone. Some states also publish average refund amounts by income level, which gives you a sense of what others in your situation received.
If you are unsure whether your state has income tax, check the list of nine no-tax states above. If your state is not on that list, it has income tax, and you will receive a refund if you overpaid.
Frequently Asked Questions
Can I get a state refund if I did not work the whole year?
Yes, if you paid state income tax during the months you worked and your total tax paid exceeds what you owe for the year. If you worked January through June and then took unpaid leave, you still file a return for the full year. Your refund is based on what you actually earned and owed, not on how many months you worked.
Will my state refund be bigger if I claim a dependent?
Possibly. Many states offer a child tax credit or dependent exemption that reduces your tax owed. If you claim a dependent, your tax liability goes down, which can increase your refund if you have already paid in through withholding. The size of the credit varies by state—some offer $50 to $100 per child, others offer $500 or more.
What if I moved to a different state during the year?
You will file a part-year resident return in both states. You report income earned in each state to that state, and each state calculates tax on the portion of income you earned there. Some states offer credits to avoid double taxation. Your refund will come from whichever state you overpaid in, or you may owe one state and get a refund from the other.
Why is my state refund so much smaller than my federal refund?
State tax rates are lower than federal rates, so the amount you overpay is usually smaller. A person who overpays federal tax by $2,000 might overpay state tax by only $300 to $500, depending on the state. Also, some people claim different deductions on their state return than their federal return, which changes the amount owed.
Do I have to file a state return if I did not owe federal tax?
Not necessarily. Most states have their own income thresholds, and they are often lower than the federal threshold. You may owe state tax even if you do not owe federal tax. Check your state's filing requirements or use its calculator to find out whether you have to file.